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BONUS-AMBER: Assessment and Modelling of Baltic Ecosystem Response

Type of Entry: Project
Website: http://www.io-warnemuende.de/amber.html
Duration: 01/01/2009 - 31/12/2011

The general aim of AMBER is the implementation and application of the Ecosystem Approach to Management (EAM) to the Baltic Sea with a focus on the coastal ecosystem (CE). The first step of AMBER is the separation of climate from anthropogenic signals in the CE by means of a combinatorial variation in model’s boundary conditions using the output of existing regional climate change scenarios and the output of a watershed model simulating changes in land use. The second step of AMBER is the application of models for future projections. To reduce the problem of model uncertainties, the ensemble method will be applied. The resulting projections are milestones for the development of EAM tools.

The most important goals are:

a) Qualitative risk assessments for various climate change scenarios/ land uses/ life style change scenarios. From the risk assessment b) mitigation strategies will be derived which are necessary tools for integrated management. AMBER will derive c) Ecological Quality Objectives (EcoQOs) for the application of EAM following the guidance of ICES (2005). EcoQOs are a basis for d) the development of indicators, limits and targets. These quantitatively describe ecosystem state, ecosystem properties or impacts. Finally, cost-effective indicators will be developed to improve monitoring strategies and to guide environmental management in decision making. EAM with its tools risk assessment, mitigation strategies, derivation of EcoQOs and improvement of monitoring strategies will be the core of science based advice for integrated management.

Keywords: Climate change, Indicator
Contact: Mr. Joachim Dippner
Leibniz Institute for Baltic Sea Research Warnemünde / Institut für Ostseeforschung Warnemünde  (IOW)
Seestr. 15
18119 Rostock-Warnemünde
Telephone: +49-381-5197-229
Fax: +49-381-5197-440
E-Mail: joachim.dippner@io-warnemuende.de
Website: http://www.io-warnemuende.de
Partner: Baltic Sea Research Institute Warnemünde (IOW), Germany (www.io-warnemuende.de)
Forschungsverbund Berlin e. V., Germany (www.fv-berlin.de)
University of Helsinki, Department of Biological and Environmental Sciences, Finland (www.helsinki.fi/bioscience)
Department of applied Environmental Science, Stockholm University, Sweden (www.itm.su.se)
Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute, Sweden (www.smhi.se/en)
University of Hamburg, Germany (www.uni-hamburg.de)
Archipelago Research Institute, University of Turku, Finland (www.seili.utu.fi/en)
Coastal Research and Planning Institute, University Klaipeda, Lithuania (www.corpi.ku.lt)
Institute of Oceanology Polish Academy of Sciences, Poland (www.iopan.gda.pl)
Helsinki University of Technology (tfy.tkk.fi)